THE HILL: Nolan’s Take On Intelligence Report

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Nolan writes:
On January 29, 2019, Coats presented the Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. The assessment is based on the collective insights of the intelligence community.
Although Coats arguably contradicted President Donald Trump in some areas, such as the state of North Korea’s nuclear program, he supported Trump’s claim that the flood of migrants from Central America is causing a security crisis. The assessment includes migration from Central America as one of the threats to national security.
This is not the first time the intelligence community has identified migration from Central America as a security threat. The same finding was included in the Worldwide Threat Assessment that former DNI James R. Clapper’s presented to congress in 2016, which was during the Obama Administration.
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PWS
02-09-19
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Nolan Rappaport
Nolan Rappaport
5 years ago

The intelligence community’s worldwide threat assessment doesn’t say that asylum seekers from Central America are a national security threat. In fact, it doesn’t say what the threat is. It just describes migration from the Northern Triangle countries and says it is increasing.

The assessment I refer to from the Obama Administration did the same thing.

Some readers take this to mean that the assessments aren’t saying that migration from Central America is a threat, but that interpretation makes no sense to me. Why would the intelligence community include Central American migration on its list of regional national security threats if they don’t consider it a national security threat?

Clearly the intelligence community in the current administration views it as a national security threat, as did the intelligence community in the Obama Administration. They just aren’t saying why.

But this isn’t a great mystery. My article is discussing the version of the assessment that was released to the public, which was discussed at an open congressional hearing.

A closed hearing followed later in the day at which classified information was discussed. That’s where the reason for viewing Central American migration as a national threat was given.

The take away from my article is that the intelligence community warned Trump that migration from Central America is a threat to national security, which means that Trump may be telling the truth when he says there is a national security crisis at the Mexican border.

Reminds me of the story of the Boy Who Cried Wolf. Trump has said outrageous things so many times that no one will believe him now when he says truthfully that there is a national security threat at the border.